Minority Report

Uvalde, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Uvalde County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 55°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—51°0%
US model (GFS)75°56°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°58°0%
German model (ICON)76°58°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°52°0%
The average76°55°0%

Friday, November 13

High 74°   Low 52°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service75°53°3%
US model (GFS)71°55°1%
European model (ECMWF)74°56°0%
German model (ICON)74°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°46°0%
The average74°52°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 71°   Low 56°   Rain 53%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 55 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 53%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°59°44%
US model (GFS)69°55°25%
European model (ECMWF)70°56°80%
German model (ICON)67°57°71%
Canadian model (GEM)78°55°46%
The average71°56°53%

Sunday, November 15

High 76°   Low 59°   Rain 60%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 55 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 31% against a group average of 60%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service72°53°31%
US model (GFS)74°62°33%
European model (ECMWF)78°56°86%
German model (ICON)76°63°75%
Canadian model (GEM)78°60°76%
The average76°59°60%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.