Minority Report

Vale, OR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Malheur County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)58°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°38°0%
German model (ICON)56°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°29°0%
The average58°33°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 36°   Rain 75%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 50% against a group average of 75%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°38°82%
US model (GFS)59°35°50%
European model (ECMWF)61°40°94%
German model (ICON)58°36°80%
Canadian model (GEM)54°34°71%
The average59°36°75%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 38°   Rain 51%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 79 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 2% against a group average of 51%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°34°2%
US model (GFS)56°36°46%
European model (ECMWF)57°43°81%
German model (ICON)58°46°60%
Canadian model (GEM)59°32°66%
The average58°38°51%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 37°   Rain 52%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 70% against a group average of 52%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°37°49%
US model (GFS)55°42°35%
European model (ECMWF)56°37°67%
German model (ICON)50°42°70%
Canadian model (GEM)48°27°38%
The average54°37°52%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.