Van Buren, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Crawford County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 67° Low 43° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 37° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 69° | 45° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 67° | 47° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 67° | 44° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 66° | 44° | 0% |
| The average | 67° | 43° | 0% |
High 56° Low 35° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 56° | 34° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 55° | 38° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 56° | 38° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 28° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 57° | 34° | 0% |
| The average | 56° | 35° | 0% |
High 55° Low 33° Rain 3%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 54° | 39° | 8% |
| US model (GFS) | 57° | 31° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 38° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 28° | 6% |
| The average | 55° | 33° | 3% |
High 50° Low 41° Rain 48%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 39° | 39% |
| US model (GFS) | 56° | 42° | 40% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 42° | 42% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 41° | 50% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 42° | 67% |
| The average | 50° | 41° | 48% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.