Minority Report

Van Horn, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Culberson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 69°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—45°0%
US model (GFS)68°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)68°42°0%
German model (ICON)69°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°32°0%
The average69°41°0%

Friday, November 13

High 72°   Low 43°   Rain 86%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 86%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service72°47°88%
US model (GFS)72°44°71%
European model (ECMWF)73°44°100%
German model (ICON)71°45°80%
Canadian model (GEM)74°35°90%
The average72°43°86%

Saturday, November 14

High 64°   Low 46°   Rain 58%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 93 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 1% against a group average of 58%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°47°1%
US model (GFS)66°48°64%
European model (ECMWF)61°47°94%
German model (ICON)65°51°68%
Canadian model (GEM)67°38°62%
The average64°46°58%

Sunday, November 15

High 64°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°44°0%
US model (GFS)64°51°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°46°0%
German model (ICON)64°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°40°0%
The average64°46°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.