Minority Report

Van Wert, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Van Wert County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 39°   Rain 86%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 37 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 63% against a group average of 86%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°63%
US model (GFS)47°41°66%
European model (ECMWF)51°40°100%
German model (ICON)48°40°100%
Canadian model (GEM)46°40°100%
The average48°39°86%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 32°   Rain 37%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 37%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°27°20%
US model (GFS)41°32°14%
European model (ECMWF)43°36°55%
German model (ICON)43°31°38%
Canadian model (GEM)41°35°57%
The average42°32°37%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 29°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°34°9%
US model (GFS)44°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)45°28°1%
German model (ICON)45°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°26°0%
The average44°29°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°32°12%
US model (GFS)46°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°2%
German model (ICON)47°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°25°0%
The average46°34°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.