Minority Report

Vanceburg, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lewis County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 43°   Rain 90%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 36 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 64% against a group average of 90%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°64%
US model (GFS)54°43°89%
European model (ECMWF)54°44°100%
German model (ICON)55°44°98%
Canadian model (GEM)54°43°100%
The average54°43°90%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 35°   Rain 64%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 48 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 32% against a group average of 64%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°31°32%
US model (GFS)46°35°63%
European model (ECMWF)50°37°80%
German model (ICON)45°36°70%
Canadian model (GEM)46°38°76%
The average46°35°64%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°33°0%
US model (GFS)46°32°15%
European model (ECMWF)48°35°2%
German model (ICON)46°34°10%
Canadian model (GEM)46°37°10%
The average46°34°7%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°32°0%
US model (GFS)48°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°39°2%
German model (ICON)50°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°32°0%
The average48°36°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.