Minority Report

Vancouver, WA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Clark County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 48°   Rain 12%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 44 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 44% against a group average of 12%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—49°44%
US model (GFS)56°47°3%
German model (ICON)57°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°47°0%
The average58°48°12%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 48°   Rain 85%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 32 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 68% against a group average of 85%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°48°96%
US model (GFS)54°47°76%
German model (ICON)58°49°100%
Canadian model (GEM)54°50°68%
The average55°48°85%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 49°   Rain 84%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 36 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 62% against a group average of 84%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°49°96%
US model (GFS)56°46°98%
German model (ICON)58°52°82%
Canadian model (GEM)57°48°62%
The average57°49°84%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 45°   Rain 96%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 10 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°44°97%
US model (GFS)52°46°98%
German model (ICON)54°47°100%
Canadian model (GEM)55°45°90%
The average54°45°96%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.