Minority Report

Ventura, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ventura County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 58°   Rain 32%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 32 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 49% against a group average of 32%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—58°49%
US model (GFS)72°57°20%
European model (ECMWF)73°59°17%
German model (ICON)78°59°25%
Canadian model (GEM)76°55°48%
The average75°58°32%

Friday, November 13

High 68°   Low 56°   Rain 82%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 55% against a group average of 82%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°55°82%
US model (GFS)70°60°73%
European model (ECMWF)67°56°100%
German model (ICON)71°58°55%
Canadian model (GEM)65°52°100%
The average68°56°82%

Saturday, November 14

High 68°   Low 52°   Rain 23%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 49% against a group average of 23%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°53°9%
US model (GFS)72°55°3%
European model (ECMWF)67°52°45%
German model (ICON)70°53°10%
Canadian model (GEM)64°47°49%
The average68°52°23%

Sunday, November 15

High 70°   Low 54°   Rain 15%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 46% against a group average of 15%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°55°46%
US model (GFS)73°62°19%
European model (ECMWF)70°53°5%
German model (ICON)70°54°1%
Canadian model (GEM)69°48°5%
The average70°54°15%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.