Minority Report

Vernon, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wilbarger County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—45°0%
US model (GFS)78°45°0%
European model (ECMWF)77°49°0%
German model (ICON)77°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°45°0%
The average77°47°0%

Friday, November 13

High 63°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°45°0%
US model (GFS)64°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°47°0%
German model (ICON)62°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°45°0%
The average63°46°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 44°   Rain 93%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°46°96%
US model (GFS)62°40°88%
European model (ECMWF)54°46°100%
German model (ICON)57°44°97%
Canadian model (GEM)58°42°86%
The average58°44°93%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 44°   Rain 90%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 90%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°42°71%
US model (GFS)55°45°88%
European model (ECMWF)50°45°100%
German model (ICON)47°44°99%
Canadian model (GEM)49°42°90%
The average51°44°90%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.