Minority Report

Victoria, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Victoria County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 55°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—51°0%
US model (GFS)79°59°0%
European model (ECMWF)77°58°0%
German model (ICON)76°56°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°49°0%
The average77°55°0%

Friday, November 13

High 77°   Low 51°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service74°54°2%
US model (GFS)78°53°0%
European model (ECMWF)77°54°0%
German model (ICON)77°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)79°44°0%
The average77°51°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 74°   Low 56°   Rain 45%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 13°, rain spread 60 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 10% against a group average of 45%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service71°61°44%
US model (GFS)68°57°34%
European model (ECMWF)75°58°70%
German model (ICON)74°56°69%
Canadian model (GEM)81°50°10%
The average74°56°45%

Sunday, November 15

High 75°   Low 60°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 91% against a group average of 79%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service72°56°82%
US model (GFS)78°64°67%
European model (ECMWF)73°59°91%
German model (ICON)73°58°76%
Canadian model (GEM)80°62°77%
The average75°60°79%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.