Minority Report

Vienna, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Johnson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 36°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 19 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 8%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°1%
US model (GFS)57°36°1%
European model (ECMWF)57°40°20%
German model (ICON)58°36°8%
Canadian model (GEM)58°37°10%
The average58°36°8%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°27°1%
US model (GFS)45°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°0%
German model (ICON)49°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°32°0%
The average47°32°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°25°0%
US model (GFS)50°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°33°0%
German model (ICON)51°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°26°0%
The average50°28°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°29°0%
US model (GFS)55°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°34°0%
German model (ICON)56°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°23°0%
The average54°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.