Minority Report

Vieques Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Vieques Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 86°   Low 81°   Rain 44%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 60 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 74% against a group average of 44%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—78°50%
US model (GFS)84°83°74%
European model (ECMWF)87°83°57%
German model (ICON)85°82°25%
Canadian model (GEM)89°81°14%
The average86°81°44%

Friday, November 13

High 87°   Low 82°   Rain 34%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 59 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 73% against a group average of 34%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service90°77°40%
US model (GFS)84°83°27%
European model (ECMWF)86°83°73%
German model (ICON)86°83°15%
Canadian model (GEM)88°83°14%
The average87°82°34%

Saturday, November 14

High 86°   Low 81°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 39 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 50% against a group average of 28%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service90°77°50%
US model (GFS)84°83°16%
European model (ECMWF)85°82°41%
German model (ICON)85°83°23%
Canadian model (GEM)88°81°11%
The average86°81°28%

Sunday, November 15

High 87°   Low 81°   Rain 9%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service91°76°10%
US model (GFS)84°83°6%
European model (ECMWF)84°83°4%
German model (ICON)86°83°13%
Canadian model (GEM)88°81°10%
The average87°81°9%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.