Minority Report

Villalba Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Villalba Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 85°   Low 72°   Rain 39%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 89 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 99% against a group average of 39%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—73°10%
US model (GFS)85°70°16%
European model (ECMWF)86°72°99%
German model (ICON)84°72°60%
Canadian model (GEM)85°72°10%
The average85°72°39%

Friday, November 13

High 83°   Low 74°   Rain 45%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 72% against a group average of 45%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service84°73°50%
US model (GFS)83°73°29%
European model (ECMWF)85°75°54%
German model (ICON)84°75°18%
Canadian model (GEM)79°73°72%
The average83°74°45%

Saturday, November 14

High 83°   Low 74°   Rain 53%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 58 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 86% against a group average of 53%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service84°72°30%
US model (GFS)83°73°28%
European model (ECMWF)83°75°83%
German model (ICON)83°77°36%
Canadian model (GEM)80°75°86%
The average83°74°53%

Sunday, November 15

High 85°   Low 72°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service85°70°9%
US model (GFS)85°71°3%
European model (ECMWF)87°73°10%
German model (ICON)84°73°5%
Canadian model (GEM)82°72°6%
The average85°72°7%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.