Minority Report

Vinita, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Craig County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°0%
US model (GFS)63°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°41°0%
German model (ICON)62°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)63°40°0%
The average62°38°0%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°0%
US model (GFS)50°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°35°0%
German model (ICON)51°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°28°0%
The average51°31°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 29°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°35°7%
US model (GFS)57°23°1%
European model (ECMWF)52°33°0%
German model (ICON)58°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°25°2%
The average55°29°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 39°   Rain 35%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 67% against a group average of 35%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°35°28%
US model (GFS)55°41°32%
European model (ECMWF)51°38°24%
German model (ICON)50°40°23%
Canadian model (GEM)46°38°67%
The average51°39°35%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.