Virginia City, MT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Madison County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 58° Low 35° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 36° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 59° | 37° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 60° | 35° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 57° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 55° | 34° | 0% |
| The average | 58° | 35° | 0% |
High 54° Low 38° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 53° | 37° | 6% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 40° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 38° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 54° | 33° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 55° | 39° | 0% |
| The average | 54° | 38° | 1% |
High 48° Low 34° Rain 31%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 30° | 23% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 32° | 32% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 37° | 16% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 36° | 54% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 34° | 29% |
| The average | 48° | 34° | 31% |
High 46° Low 30° Rain 6%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 30° | 2% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 29° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 32° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 32° | 13% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 28° | 15% |
| The average | 46° | 30° | 6% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.