Minority Report

Virginia, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cass County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 46° Low 33° Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 18 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source

Source	High	Low	Rain
National Weather Service	—	30°	2%
US model (GFS)	47°	34°	0%
European model (ECMWF)	47°	38°	18%
German model (ICON)	47°	34°	8%
Canadian model (GEM)	45°	31°	14%
The average	46°	33°	8%

Friday, November 13

High 43° Low 29° Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source

Source	High	Low	Rain
National Weather Service	43°	24°	2%
US model (GFS)	43°	30°	0%
European model (ECMWF)	43°	35°	0%
German model (ICON)	44°	28°	0%
Canadian model (GEM)	41°	28°	0%
The average	43°	29°	0%

Saturday, November 14

High 46° Low 25° Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source

Source	High	Low	Rain
National Weather Service	47°	25°	0%
US model (GFS)	47°	24°	0%
European model (ECMWF)	46°	29°	0%
German model (ICON)	48°	27°	0%
Canadian model (GEM)	44°	22°	0%
The average	46°	25°	0%

Sunday, November 15

High 50° Low 26° Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source

Source	High	Low	Rain
National Weather Service	49°	26°	0%
US model (GFS)	51°	33°	0%
European model (ECMWF)	49°	29°	0%
German model (ICON)	51°	26°	0%
Canadian model (GEM)	47°	18°	0%
The average	50°	26°	0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.