Minority Report

Visalia, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Tulare County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 79°   Low 46°   Rain 1%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 3 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—51°3%
US model (GFS)82°45°1%
European model (ECMWF)76°46°0%
German model (ICON)79°45°3%
Canadian model (GEM)80°43°0%
The average79°46°1%

Friday, November 13

High 70°   Low 50°   Rain 97%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°50°97%
US model (GFS)73°53°88%
European model (ECMWF)69°52°100%
German model (ICON)68°50°98%
Canadian model (GEM)69°46°100%
The average70°50°97%

Saturday, November 14

High 64°   Low 47°   Rain 26%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 61 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 62% against a group average of 26%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°46°1%
US model (GFS)63°49°6%
European model (ECMWF)64°48°62%
German model (ICON)64°47°28%
Canadian model (GEM)62°44°31%
The average64°47°26%

Sunday, November 15

High 67°   Low 46°   Rain 14%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 51 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 51% against a group average of 14%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°49°51%
US model (GFS)67°50°8%
European model (ECMWF)67°45°0%
German model (ICON)67°44°11%
Canadian model (GEM)66°40°1%
The average67°46°14%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.