Minority Report

Wabash, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wabash County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 40°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 51 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 73%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°55%
US model (GFS)48°41°49%
European model (ECMWF)50°41°100%
German model (ICON)48°40°88%
Canadian model (GEM)47°41°71%
The average48°40°73%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 32°   Rain 34%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 57 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 68% against a group average of 34%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°27°13%
US model (GFS)41°31°11%
European model (ECMWF)45°34°68%
German model (ICON)43°31°45%
Canadian model (GEM)43°34°33%
The average43°32°34%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 30°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°34°16%
US model (GFS)41°31°9%
European model (ECMWF)44°30°6%
German model (ICON)44°29°3%
Canadian model (GEM)45°26°19%
The average44°30°11%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 33°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°30°13%
US model (GFS)46°36°4%
European model (ECMWF)46°39°2%
German model (ICON)49°33°3%
Canadian model (GEM)46°26°11%
The average47°33°7%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.