Minority Report

Wagoner, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wagoner County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°1%
US model (GFS)66°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°46°0%
German model (ICON)64°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°46°0%
The average65°43°0%

Friday, November 13

High 53°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°32°0%
US model (GFS)53°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°39°0%
German model (ICON)53°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°40°0%
The average53°36°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 35°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 18% against a group average of 7%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°37°18%
US model (GFS)57°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)54°38°5%
German model (ICON)57°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°37°11%
The average56°35°7%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 41°   Rain 52%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 73% against a group average of 52%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°36°50%
US model (GFS)48°42°45%
European model (ECMWF)48°44°53%
German model (ICON)46°43°41%
Canadian model (GEM)49°43°73%
The average48°41°52%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.