Wailuku, HI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Maui County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 79° Low 72° Rain 32%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 100 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 80° | 72° | 35% |
| US model (GFS) | 78° | 72° | 10% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 76° | 71° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 81° | 74° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 79° | 72° | 16% |
| The average | 79° | 72° | 32% |
High 80° Low 72° Rain 18%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 51 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 80° | 72° | 27% |
| US model (GFS) | 81° | 70° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 74° | 71° | 51% |
| German model (ICON) | 84° | 73° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 80° | 72° | 10% |
| The average | 80° | 72° | 18% |
High 80° Low 72° Rain 16%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 57 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 81° | 73° | 4% |
| US model (GFS) | 81° | 70° | 13% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 75° | 71° | 57% |
| German model (ICON) | 82° | 74° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 81° | 71° | 5% |
| The average | 80° | 72° | 16% |
High 80° Low 72° Rain 20%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 75 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 81° | 73° | 3% |
| US model (GFS) | 80° | 71° | 14% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 74° | 70° | 75% |
| German model (ICON) | 83° | 74° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 81° | 72° | 10% |
| The average | 80° | 72° | 20% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.