Minority Report

Walden, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jackson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 21°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—20°0%
US model (GFS)55°21°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°28°0%
German model (ICON)54°21°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°13°0%
The average54°21°0%

Friday, November 13

High 53°   Low 23°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°23°4%
US model (GFS)55°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°30°0%
German model (ICON)52°22°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°10°0%
The average53°23°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 23°   Rain 25%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 9% against a group average of 25%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°23°30%
US model (GFS)46°25°31%
European model (ECMWF)44°31°9%
German model (ICON)49°24°28%
Canadian model (GEM)42°15°29%
The average45°23°25%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 24°   Rain 8%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°19°1%
US model (GFS)45°29°7%
European model (ECMWF)46°28°6%
German model (ICON)46°28°16%
Canadian model (GEM)46°16°10%
The average45°24°8%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.