Minority Report

Waldron, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Scott County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°1%
US model (GFS)68°44°1%
European model (ECMWF)66°47°0%
German model (ICON)67°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°46°0%
The average67°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°28°0%
US model (GFS)55°36°1%
European model (ECMWF)53°37°0%
German model (ICON)57°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°32°0%
The average56°33°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 31°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°31°11%
US model (GFS)58°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°36°3%
German model (ICON)57°28°2%
Canadian model (GEM)55°33°0%
The average56°31°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 41°   Rain 50%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 63% against a group average of 50%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°33°44%
US model (GFS)56°41°44%
European model (ECMWF)52°43°50%
German model (ICON)46°42°50%
Canadian model (GEM)52°46°63%
The average51°41°50%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.