Minority Report

Wallace, ID — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Shoshone County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°0%
US model (GFS)63°51°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°44°0%
German model (ICON)66°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°49°0%
The average65°47°0%

Friday, November 13

High 64°   Low 46°   Rain 17%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 70 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 70% against a group average of 17%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°39°70%
US model (GFS)63°47°6%
European model (ECMWF)66°44°0%
German model (ICON)66°50°3%
Canadian model (GEM)65°49°8%
The average64°46°17%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 39°   Rain 77%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 62% against a group average of 77%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°35°70%
US model (GFS)47°38°62%
European model (ECMWF)50°38°82%
German model (ICON)50°43°85%
Canadian model (GEM)51°42°84%
The average48°39°77%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 40°   Rain 71%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 81% against a group average of 71%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°38°69%
US model (GFS)52°37°64%
European model (ECMWF)52°38°67%
German model (ICON)50°43°74%
Canadian model (GEM)51°42°81%
The average51°40°71%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.