Minority Report

Walnut Ridge, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lawrence County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 64°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)63°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°42°0%
German model (ICON)63°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°41°0%
The average64°40°0%

Friday, November 13

High 52°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°28°0%
US model (GFS)49°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°36°0%
German model (ICON)53°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°30°0%
The average52°32°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°30°0%
US model (GFS)51°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°32°0%
German model (ICON)52°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°25°0%
The average51°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 32°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°34°4%
US model (GFS)55°37°4%
European model (ECMWF)54°35°4%
German model (ICON)58°32°2%
Canadian model (GEM)55°24°4%
The average55°32°4%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.