Minority Report

Walsenburg, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Huerfano County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 63°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°0%
US model (GFS)63°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°35°0%
German model (ICON)64°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)63°31°0%
The average63°35°0%

Friday, November 13

High 64°   Low 37°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 6%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°39°30%
US model (GFS)66°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°35°0%
German model (ICON)65°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°31°0%
The average64°37°6%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 36°   Rain 52%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 92% against a group average of 52%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°34°51%
US model (GFS)55°36°43%
European model (ECMWF)48°39°92%
German model (ICON)57°40°43%
Canadian model (GEM)50°33°29%
The average53°36°52%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 32°   Rain 31%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 62 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 66% against a group average of 31%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°30°4%
US model (GFS)52°37°37%
European model (ECMWF)51°33°66%
German model (ICON)57°33°34%
Canadian model (GEM)51°29°14%
The average52°32°31%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.