Minority Report

Wapakoneta, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Auglaize County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 40°   Rain 92%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 26 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 74% against a group average of 92%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°86%
US model (GFS)47°41°74%
European model (ECMWF)51°41°100%
German model (ICON)48°41°98%
Canadian model (GEM)47°39°100%
The average48°40°92%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 32°   Rain 56%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 78 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 56%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°27°29%
US model (GFS)41°32°18%
European model (ECMWF)42°36°78%
German model (ICON)42°33°60%
Canadian model (GEM)41°32°96%
The average41°32°56%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 29°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°34°3%
US model (GFS)42°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)44°29°2%
German model (ICON)44°28°3%
Canadian model (GEM)40°25°8%
The average43°29°4%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°31°1%
US model (GFS)46°38°2%
European model (ECMWF)45°37°2%
German model (ICON)48°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°27°0%
The average46°34°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.