Minority Report

Warren, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bradley County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°0%
US model (GFS)73°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)72°50°0%
German model (ICON)70°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°51°0%
The average71°47°0%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°31°0%
US model (GFS)56°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°40°0%
German model (ICON)55°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°38°0%
The average57°36°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°34°1%
US model (GFS)57°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°37°0%
German model (ICON)55°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°32°0%
The average55°32°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 39°   Rain 36%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 54% against a group average of 36%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°37°28%
US model (GFS)60°40°25%
European model (ECMWF)56°40°43%
German model (ICON)56°38°54%
Canadian model (GEM)57°40°29%
The average57°39°36%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.