Minority Report

Warren, MN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Marshall County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 36°   Low 23°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—17°0%
US model (GFS)37°24°0%
European model (ECMWF)37°24°0%
German model (ICON)36°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)35°23°0%
The average36°23°0%

Friday, November 13

High 35°   Low 21°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service35°18°0%
US model (GFS)33°23°0%
European model (ECMWF)36°24°0%
German model (ICON)36°22°0%
Canadian model (GEM)36°17°0%
The average35°21°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 41°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service39°24°0%
US model (GFS)44°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°26°0%
German model (ICON)42°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°20°0%
The average41°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°34°0%
US model (GFS)50°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°32°0%
German model (ICON)50°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°26°0%
The average47°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.