Warren, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Trumbull County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 48° Low 40° Rain 77%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 73 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 35° | 27% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 40° | 81% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 43° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 41° | 98% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 42° | 81% |
| The average | 48° | 40° | 77% |
High 42° Low 34° Rain 34%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 32° | 67% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 32° | 29% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 36° | 24% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 34° | 28% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 36° | 22% |
| The average | 42° | 34° | 34% |
High 43° Low 33° Rain 81%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 33° | 74% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 33° | 82% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 34° | 95% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 33° | 73% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 34° | 81% |
| The average | 43° | 33° | 81% |
High 45° Low 37° Rain 48%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 32° | 52% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 40° | 37% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 40° | 47% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 40° | 43% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 33° | 63% |
| The average | 45° | 37° | 48% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.