Warren, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Warren County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 45° Low 35° Rain 81%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 74 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 29° | 26% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 36° | 86% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 38° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 36° | 93% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 37° | 100% |
| The average | 45° | 35° | 81% |
High 38° Low 33° Rain 35%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 30° | 54% |
| US model (GFS) | 37° | 33° | 25% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 39° | 35° | 20% |
| German model (ICON) | 38° | 33° | 33% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 37° | 34° | 43% |
| The average | 38° | 33° | 35% |
High 41° Low 33° Rain 68%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 56 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 31° | 61% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 33° | 44% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 34° | 57% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 34° | 80% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 34° | 100% |
| The average | 41° | 33° | 68% |
High 41° Low 34° Rain 57%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 55 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 29° | 50% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 35° | 38% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 36° | 57% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 36° | 48% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 35° | 93% |
| The average | 41° | 34° | 57% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.