Minority Report

Warrensburg, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Johnson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 49°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°0%
US model (GFS)50°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°38°0%
German model (ICON)50°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°30°0%
The average49°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°23°0%
US model (GFS)41°25°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°31°0%
German model (ICON)45°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°22°0%
The average44°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 23°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°29°1%
US model (GFS)49°21°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°27°0%
German model (ICON)49°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°15°0%
The average48°23°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 28°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°30°2%
US model (GFS)53°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)50°30°0%
German model (ICON)54°29°3%
Canadian model (GEM)51°21°0%
The average52°28°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.