Warsaw, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wyoming County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 45° Low 34° Rain 83%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 75 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 30° | 25% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 35° | 88% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 36° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 36° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 36° | 100% |
| The average | 45° | 34° | 83% |
High 36° Low 32° Rain 45%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 55 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 37° | 28° | 38% |
| US model (GFS) | 36° | 32° | 13% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 37° | 34° | 55% |
| German model (ICON) | 36° | 34° | 53% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 36° | 34° | 68% |
| The average | 36° | 32° | 45% |
High 39° Low 33° Rain 78%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 38° | 31° | 64% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 32° | 65% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 39° | 34° | 90% |
| German model (ICON) | 39° | 33° | 83% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 33° | 86% |
| The average | 39° | 33° | 78% |
High 39° Low 33° Rain 62%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 31° | 44% |
| US model (GFS) | 37° | 31° | 65% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 39° | 35° | 84% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 35° | 64% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 34° | 52% |
| The average | 39° | 33° | 62% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.