Wartburg, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Morgan County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 56° Low 40° Rain 68%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 80 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 32° | 20% |
| US model (GFS) | 56° | 42° | 34% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 56° | 44° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 42° | 93% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 56° | 41° | 95% |
| The average | 56° | 40° | 68% |
High 43° Low 35° Rain 26%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 30° | 39% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 35° | 33% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 38° | 33% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 37° | 8% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 35° | 15% |
| The average | 43° | 35° | 26% |
High 44° Low 30° Rain 4%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 27° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 31° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 31° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 32° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 28° | 15% |
| The average | 44° | 30° | 4% |
High 51° Low 29° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 28° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 31° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 30° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 26° | 0% |
| The average | 51° | 29° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.