Minority Report

Wasatch County, UT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wasatch County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 49°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°0%
US model (GFS)47°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°26°0%
German model (ICON)48°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°32°0%
The average49°30°0%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 29°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 73 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 55%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°28°98%
US model (GFS)42°27°38%
European model (ECMWF)43°28°25%
German model (ICON)41°29°68%
Canadian model (GEM)41°31°48%
The average42°29°55%

Saturday, November 14

High 34°   Low 24°   Rain 98%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service35°21°98%
US model (GFS)33°14°97%
European model (ECMWF)33°28°96%
German model (ICON)32°27°99%
Canadian model (GEM)34°29°100%
The average34°24°98%

Sunday, November 15

High 38°   Low 20°   Rain 1%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°23°0%
US model (GFS)32°14°3%
European model (ECMWF)42°23°1%
German model (ICON)38°20°0%
Canadian model (GEM)39°22°0%
The average38°20°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.