Minority Report

Washburn, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bayfield County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 37°   Low 32°   Rain 29%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 58 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 59% against a group average of 29%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°19%
US model (GFS)37°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)37°33°59%
German model (ICON)38°34°13%
Canadian model (GEM)36°31°52%
The average37°32°29%

Friday, November 13

High 36°   Low 30°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°29°8%
US model (GFS)35°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)35°31°2%
German model (ICON)36°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)35°24°0%
The average36°30°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°27°0%
US model (GFS)44°30°1%
European model (ECMWF)41°29°0%
German model (ICON)43°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°27°0%
The average42°28°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°31°0%
US model (GFS)47°30°1%
European model (ECMWF)47°30°0%
German model (ICON)49°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°25°0%
The average47°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.