Minority Report

Washington County, RI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Washington County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 44°   Rain 94%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 22 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 78% against a group average of 94%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—42°100%
US model (GFS)56°42°99%
European model (ECMWF)56°45°96%
German model (ICON)56°46°78%
Canadian model (GEM)57°44°99%
The average56°44°94%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 38°   Rain 83%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 68% against a group average of 83%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°37°74%
US model (GFS)45°38°68%
European model (ECMWF)46°41°94%
German model (ICON)48°39°85%
Canadian model (GEM)47°37°96%
The average46°38°83%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 14%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°19%
US model (GFS)46°34°5%
European model (ECMWF)46°34°10%
German model (ICON)45°36°13%
Canadian model (GEM)44°33°21%
The average45°34°14%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°32°0%
US model (GFS)47°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°35°2%
German model (ICON)48°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°38°0%
The average48°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.