Minority Report

Washington County, UT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Washington County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 46°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 5 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—47°5%
US model (GFS)62°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°46°0%
German model (ICON)63°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°50°0%
The average62°46°1%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 44°   Rain 89%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 51% against a group average of 89%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°44°99%
US model (GFS)58°47°51%
European model (ECMWF)55°43°98%
German model (ICON)58°46°100%
Canadian model (GEM)54°42°95%
The average56°44°89%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 39°   Rain 96%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°38°90%
US model (GFS)51°39°90%
European model (ECMWF)51°41°100%
German model (ICON)54°39°100%
Canadian model (GEM)45°38°100%
The average51°39°96%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°41°0%
US model (GFS)49°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°40°0%
German model (ICON)54°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°35°0%
The average51°38°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.