Minority Report

Washington Court House, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Fayette County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 51°   Low 40°   Rain 91%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 22 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 78% against a group average of 91%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°89%
US model (GFS)51°41°78%
European model (ECMWF)52°40°100%
German model (ICON)52°43°90%
Canadian model (GEM)51°39°96%
The average51°40°91%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 34°   Rain 69%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 71 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 69%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°30°29%
US model (GFS)42°35°67%
European model (ECMWF)44°35°100%
German model (ICON)43°34°60%
Canadian model (GEM)42°35°87%
The average43°34°69%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 30°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 6%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°34°1%
US model (GFS)43°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)45°30°2%
German model (ICON)43°30°5%
Canadian model (GEM)42°28°19%
The average44°30°6%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°0%
US model (GFS)46°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°34°1%
German model (ICON)47°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°29°0%
The average45°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.