Minority Report

Washington, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Daviess County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 37°   Rain 38%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 67 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 76% against a group average of 38%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°9%
US model (GFS)52°37°19%
European model (ECMWF)53°41°76%
Canadian model (GEM)51°35°49%
The average52°37°38%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 14 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°19%
US model (GFS)43°32°5%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°10%
Canadian model (GEM)40°33°5%
The average44°33°10%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°26°0%
US model (GFS)49°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)50°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°26°0%
The average49°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°28°0%
US model (GFS)52°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°19°0%
The average50°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.