Minority Report

Washington, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Beaufort County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 49°   Rain 17%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 27 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 32% against a group average of 17%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—42°22%
US model (GFS)73°50°32%
European model (ECMWF)72°51°16%
German model (ICON)72°52°5%
Canadian model (GEM)72°51°10%
The average72°49°17%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 42°   Rain 13%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 1% against a group average of 13%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°35°20%
US model (GFS)58°44°17%
European model (ECMWF)59°46°18%
German model (ICON)59°42°10%
Canadian model (GEM)60°45°1%
The average60°42°13%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 36°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°31°0%
US model (GFS)54°36°10%
European model (ECMWF)53°39°12%
German model (ICON)54°34°8%
Canadian model (GEM)53°38°0%
The average54°36°6%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°34°0%
US model (GFS)54°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°36°0%
German model (ICON)58°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°29°0%
The average56°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.