Minority Report

Washington, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Washington County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 49°   Low 39°   Rain 82%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 71 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 82%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°29%
US model (GFS)48°40°86%
European model (ECMWF)50°40°100%
German model (ICON)48°40°100%
Canadian model (GEM)49°42°95%
The average49°39°82%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 32°   Rain 20%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 39 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 45% against a group average of 20%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°17%
US model (GFS)40°32°6%
European model (ECMWF)42°33°10%
German model (ICON)42°32°45%
Canadian model (GEM)42°34°24%
The average42°32°20%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 32°   Rain 27%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 44% against a group average of 27%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°32°36%
US model (GFS)42°34°22%
European model (ECMWF)42°33°20%
German model (ICON)43°32°15%
Canadian model (GEM)42°31°44%
The average43°32°27%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 34°   Rain 25%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 25%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°33°14%
US model (GFS)42°33°18%
European model (ECMWF)44°39°35%
German model (ICON)46°37°25%
Canadian model (GEM)43°31°33%
The average44°34°25%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.