Washington, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Rappahannock County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 64° Low 43° Rain 33%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 71 points, 3 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 40° | 9% |
| US model (GFS) | 64° | 44° | 20% |
| German model (ICON) | 63° | 48° | 80% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 66° | 40° | 24% |
| The average | 64° | 43° | 33% |
High 49° Low 34° Rain 8%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 10 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 33° | 10% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 32° | 3% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 37° | 13% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 35° | 5% |
| The average | 49° | 34° | 8% |
High 48° Low 33° Rain 2%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 3 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 34° | 2% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 30° | 3% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 36° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 30° | 2% |
| The average | 48° | 33° | 2% |
High 51° Low 36° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 53° | 34° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 49° | 32° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 42° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 35° | 0% |
| The average | 51° | 36° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.