Minority Report

Waterloo, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Monroe County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 36°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 10 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)51°35°1%
European model (ECMWF)53°40°0%
German model (ICON)52°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°35°10%
The average52°36°2%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°27°0%
US model (GFS)44°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°35°0%
German model (ICON)46°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°29°0%
The average44°30°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°27°0%
US model (GFS)48°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°31°0%
German model (ICON)49°23°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°25°0%
The average47°27°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°29°1%
US model (GFS)53°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°27°0%
German model (ICON)54°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°19°0%
The average51°26°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.