Waterloo, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Seneca County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 46° Low 36° Rain 93%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 22 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 30° | 78% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 36° | 88% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 37° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 40° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 37° | 100% |
| The average | 46° | 36° | 93% |
High 40° Low 34° Rain 62%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 29° | 41% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 34° | 37% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 36° | 86% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 36° | 60% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 36° | 87% |
| The average | 40° | 34° | 62% |
High 41° Low 34° Rain 89%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 32° | 78% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 34° | 75% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 37° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 35° | 95% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 35° | 95% |
| The average | 41° | 34° | 89% |
High 43° Low 36° Rain 66%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 34° | 56% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 37° | 75% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 36° | 86% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 38° | 63% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 36° | 48% |
| The average | 43° | 36° | 66% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.