Watertown, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jefferson County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 43° Low 33° Rain 50%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 77 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 27° | 18% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 33° | 23% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 36° | 75% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 34° | 95% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 35° | 38% |
| The average | 43° | 33° | 50% |
High 39° Low 31° Rain 14%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 28° | 12% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 30° | 6% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 34° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 39° | 30° | 13% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 32° | 38% |
| The average | 39° | 31° | 14% |
High 39° Low 33° Rain 59%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 29° | 40% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 34° | 36% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 36° | 82% |
| German model (ICON) | 39° | 33° | 70% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 37° | 34° | 66% |
| The average | 39° | 33° | 59% |
High 42° Low 33° Rain 19%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 28° | 16% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 34° | 18% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 35° | 18% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 35° | 30% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 34° | 11% |
| The average | 42° | 33° | 19% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.