Minority Report

Waterville, WA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Douglas County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 39°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 10 points, 3 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°4%
US model (GFS)46°38°0%
German model (ICON)49°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°43°10%
The average48°39°4%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 38°   Rain 54%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 46 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 54%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°37°62%
US model (GFS)49°35°29%
German model (ICON)52°41°75%
Canadian model (GEM)51°41°49%
The average51°38°54%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 36°   Rain 41%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 0°, rain spread 49 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 10% against a group average of 41%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°36°58%
US model (GFS)51°34°59%
German model (ICON)51°40°37%
Canadian model (GEM)51°34°10%
The average51°36°41%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 36°   Rain 76%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 35 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 58% against a group average of 76%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°34°58%
US model (GFS)44°37°59%
German model (ICON)46°39°92%
Canadian model (GEM)46°33°93%
The average45°36°76%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.