Minority Report

Watkins Glen, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Schuyler County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 47°   Low 35°   Rain 98%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 8 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°92%
US model (GFS)47°36°100%
European model (ECMWF)48°37°100%
German model (ICON)47°35°100%
Canadian model (GEM)46°38°100%
The average47°35°98%

Friday, November 13

High 39°   Low 34°   Rain 85%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 54% against a group average of 85%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°29°54%
US model (GFS)38°34°80%
European model (ECMWF)39°35°100%
German model (ICON)38°34°90%
Canadian model (GEM)39°37°100%
The average39°34°85%

Saturday, November 14

High 41°   Low 35°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 39 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 58% against a group average of 79%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°32°66%
US model (GFS)40°34°58%
European model (ECMWF)40°36°97%
German model (ICON)42°35°86%
Canadian model (GEM)41°37°90%
The average41°35°79%

Sunday, November 15

High 41°   Low 36°   Rain 76%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 76%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°32°66%
US model (GFS)40°36°62%
European model (ECMWF)41°37°100%
German model (ICON)42°37°78%
Canadian model (GEM)39°37°76%
The average41°36°76%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.