Minority Report

Watkinsville, GA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Oconee County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 46°   Rain 16%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 43 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 43% against a group average of 16%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°0%
US model (GFS)68°49°10%
European model (ECMWF)67°53°43%
German model (ICON)67°45°10%
Canadian model (GEM)67°46°19%
The average67°46°16%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°34°0%
US model (GFS)54°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°43°0%
German model (ICON)56°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°40°0%
The average55°39°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°29°0%
US model (GFS)56°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°39°0%
German model (ICON)57°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°33°0%
The average56°34°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°33°0%
US model (GFS)58°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°33°0%
German model (ICON)57°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°26°0%
The average56°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.