Minority Report

Watonga, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Blaine County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°0%
US model (GFS)64°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°45°0%
German model (ICON)66°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°43°0%
The average65°43°0%

Friday, November 13

High 53°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°37°0%
US model (GFS)52°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°40°0%
German model (ICON)54°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°36°0%
The average53°38°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 37°   Rain 84%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 74% against a group average of 84%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°40°89%
US model (GFS)56°34°74%
European model (ECMWF)52°40°91%
German model (ICON)56°37°85%
Canadian model (GEM)56°35°83%
The average55°37°84%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 40°   Rain 96%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°37°91%
US model (GFS)46°40°93%
European model (ECMWF)45°42°100%
German model (ICON)43°41°98%
Canadian model (GEM)41°38°100%
The average44°40°96%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.