Minority Report

Watseka, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Iroquois County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 45°   Low 36°   Rain 43%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 60 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 13% against a group average of 43%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°67%
US model (GFS)45°36°21%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°43%
German model (ICON)45°36°13%
Canadian model (GEM)44°38°73%
The average45°36°43%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 31°   Rain 63%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 51 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 63%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°29°82%
US model (GFS)38°34°39%
European model (ECMWF)43°33°51%
German model (ICON)42°32°53%
Canadian model (GEM)41°28°90%
The average40°31°63%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 29°   Rain 9%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 38% against a group average of 9%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°26°0%
US model (GFS)46°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)47°31°0%
German model (ICON)48°31°3%
Canadian model (GEM)44°25°38%
The average46°29°9%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°26°0%
US model (GFS)49°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°28°0%
German model (ICON)49°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°19°0%
The average48°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.